Only 2 games into the new Premier League season and Norwich are bottom once again. They’ve had an incredibly tough opening 2 games, playing Liverpool and Manchester City back to back. It is quite early but it appears to be the same old story for Norwich as it was 2 years ago. Today I’ll be taking a look at different aspects of Norwich and assessing how I think they’ll do.
Transfer Strategy –
Norwich have always used the “Buy low, sell high” strategy when it comes to transfers. They’ll buy a player on the cheap, develop him and then sell him for a big margin of profit. There’s nothing wrong with this approach as Leicester used to do this after their success but the difference between Leicester and Norwich is that Leicester reinvested their money properly back into the squad. For example Norwich sold Emi Buendia for £35m this window and they haven’t exactly spent it that well. They made the transfer of Ben Gibson permanent for £8m from Burnley, they went to Werder Bremen who got relegated, and bought both Milot Rashica and Josh Sargent, who scored a combined 8 goals last season. Their defence was the main issue the last time they were here and they clearly haven’t reinforced that area well enough to warrant them staying up and that already doesn’t fill me with confidence.
Daniel Farke –
Farke himself said in an interview with the Canaries website some time ago that teams who are promoted to the Premier League because they’re better at attacking rather than defending “find it difficult to do well” or stay up in the first season because in the Premier League, those attackers who were so good in the Championship won’t do as well because the level of the Premier League is higher. He also said that teams who are promoted because of their defensive ability find it easier to stay up because they’re already so solid. It seems that Farke needs to take his own advice and he needs to make this Norwich team more solid and harder to play against. He persists with this style of play and of course it’s entertaining but I think he was lucky the first season as they let him off because it was his first season so he got lucky but I feel this season if Norwich don’t pick up results or form by Christmas then I think that Farke will be sacked as the owners would like to stay in the league and wouldn’t want to face the same fate of two years ago.
In conclusion, both of these factors together I think will unfortunately mean that Norwich will end up being relegated. Their transfer strategy doesn’t seem that reassuring and it looks like Farke is persisting with his style of play but if they do sack him by Christmas and get in a new manager, they might be able to survive, depending on the damage done.